| Matchup | Predicted Winner | Win Probability | Home Pitcher | Away Pitcher | Park Factor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI @ SF | PHI | 79.4% | Adrian Houser | Andrew Painter | 0.92 (Pitcher-friendly) |
| ATL @ LAA | ATL | 69.9% | José Soriano | Chris Sale | 0.99 (Neutral) |
| SEA @ TEX | TEX | 69.7% | Jacob deGrom | Logan Gilbert | 1.07 (Hitter-friendly) |
| BAL @ CWS | BAL | 66.7% | Grant Taylor | Brandon Young | 0.98 (Neutral) |
| CIN @ MIA | CIN | 66.3% | Janson Junk | Brandon Williamson | 0.95 (Neutral) |
| Matchup | Home Win % | Away Win % | Confidence | Pitchers | Park |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI @ SF | 20.6% | 79.4% | High | Adrian Houser vs Andrew Painter | - |
| ATL @ LAA | 30.1% | 69.9% | High | José Soriano vs Chris Sale | = |
| SEA @ TEX | 69.7% | 30.3% | High | Jacob deGrom vs Logan Gilbert | + |
| BAL @ CWS | 33.3% | 66.7% | High | Grant Taylor vs Brandon Young | = |
| CIN @ MIA | 33.7% | 66.3% | High | Janson Junk vs Brandon Williamson | = |
| STL @ WSH | 63.7% | 36.3% | Medium | Zack Littell vs Andre Pallante | = |
| DET @ MIN | 63.3% | 36.7% | Medium | Joe Ryan vs Casey Mize | = |
| CHC @ TB | 37.5% | 62.5% | Medium | Shane McClanahan vs Jameson Taillon | = |
| HOU @ COL | 62.1% | 37.9% | Medium | Ryan Feltner vs Cody Bolton | + |
| MIL @ BOS | 61.9% | 38.1% | Medium | Brayan Bello vs Brandon Woodruff | = |
| LAD @ TOR | 43.3% | 56.7% | Medium | Max Scherzer vs Justin Wrobleski | = |
| KC @ CLE | 56.1% | 43.9% | Medium | Tanner Bibee vs Michael Wacha | = |
| SD @ PIT | 50.7% | 49.3% | Toss-up | Bubba Chandler vs Germán Márquez | = |