| Matchup | Predicted Winner | Win Probability | Home Pitcher | Away Pitcher | Park | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA @ KC | KC | 68.9% | Michael Wacha | Sandy Alcantara | = | ↑ 10mph 97°F |
| ATH @ SEA | ATH | 68.5% | Kade Anderson | Jack Perkins | = | ~ 2mph 60°F |
| CWS @ HOU | HOU | 66.4% | Hunter Brown | Luis Castillo | = | ~ 1mph 80°F |
| Batter | vs Pitcher | Game | Impact Score | HR Prob | wOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez | Luis Castillo | HOU vs CWS | 1.193 | 21.2% | 0.729 |
| Christian Bethancourt | Blade Tidwell | PIT vs SF | 1.108 | 17.2% | 0.692 |
| Jac Caglianone | Sandy Alcantara | KC vs MIA | 1.057 | 18.4% | 0.640 |
| Jackson Chourio | Kevin Gausman | MIL vs CHC | 1.027 | 17.3% | 0.632 |
| Jake Bauers | Kevin Gausman | MIL vs CHC | 1.007 | 16.8% | 0.628 |
| Jeremy Peña | Luis Castillo | HOU vs CWS | 0.912 | 15.6% | 0.559 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Brandon Young | BOS vs BAL | 0.906 | 13.0% | 0.572 |
| Michael Stefanic | Kade Anderson | ATH vs SEA | 0.896 | 13.2% | 0.575 |
| Junior Caminero | Cal Quantrill | TB vs TEX | 0.871 | 16.2% | 0.528 |
| Wyatt Langford | Shane McClanahan | TEX vs TB | 0.838 | 14.2% | 0.515 |
| Matchup | Home Win % | Away Win % | Confidence | Pitchers | Park | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA @ KC | 68.9% | 31.1% | High | Michael Wacha vs Sandy Alcantara | = | ↑ 10mph 97°F |
| ATH @ SEA | 31.5% | 68.5% | High | Kade Anderson vs Jack Perkins | = | ~ 2mph 60°F |
| CWS @ HOU | 66.4% | 33.6% | High | Hunter Brown vs Luis Castillo | = | ~ 1mph 80°F |
| STL @ LAD | 64.2% | 35.8% | Medium | Tarik Skubal vs Quinn Mathews | = | → 6mph 69°F |
| TB @ TEX | 62.0% | 38.0% | Medium | Cal Quantrill vs Shane McClanahan | + | ↑ 12mph 90°F |
| SF @ PIT | 60.6% | 39.4% | Medium | Lake Bachar vs Blade Tidwell | = |
~
3mph
79°F
☂ 21% |
| TOR @ CLE | 41.5% | 58.5% | Medium | Tanner Bibee vs José Soriano | = | ~ 2mph 82°F |
| MIL @ CHC | 43.1% | 56.9% | Medium | Kevin Gausman vs Logan Henderson | = | ↓ 6mph 75°F |
| BOS @ BAL | 44.4% | 55.6% | Medium | Brandon Young vs Jake Bennett | = | ↑ 9mph 85°F |