| Matchup | Predicted Winner | Win Probability | Home Pitcher | Away Pitcher | Park | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL @ LAA | STL | 79.0% | José Soriano | Kyle Leahy | = | ↑ 6mph 79°F |
| DET @ CHC | CHC | 69.9% | Jameson Taillon | Jack Flaherty | = | ↑ 14mph 86°F |
| ATH @ AZ | AZ | 69.2% | Mitch Bratt | Jeffrey Springs | + | → 6mph 103°F |
| MIN @ CLE | MIN | 65.4% | Tanner Bibee | Joe Ryan | = | ↓ 5mph 79°F |
| BAL @ BOS | BOS | 65.0% | Payton Tolle | Shane Baz | = | → 12mph 82°F |
| Batter | vs Pitcher | Game | Impact Score | HR Prob | wOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis Mead | Kyle Freeland | WSH vs COL | 1.510 | 27.4% | 0.894 |
| Luis García Jr. | Kyle Freeland | WSH vs COL | 1.309 | 24.3% | 0.764 |
| CJ Abrams | Kyle Freeland | WSH vs COL | 1.267 | 22.7% | 0.755 |
| Jake McCarthy | Andrew Alvarez | COL vs WSH | 1.176 | 17.4% | 0.722 |
| James Wood | Kyle Freeland | WSH vs COL | 1.121 | 20.1% | 0.679 |
| Harry Ford | Kyle Freeland | WSH vs COL | 1.099 | 18.0% | 0.674 |
| Matt Olson | JP Sears | ATL vs SD | 1.072 | 20.0% | 0.637 |
| Jordan Walker | José Soriano | STL vs LAA | 1.064 | 18.4% | 0.651 |
| Alec Burleson | José Soriano | STL vs LAA | 1.060 | 16.4% | 0.662 |
| Brandon Marsh | Emmet Sheehan | PHI vs LAD | 1.052 | 17.4% | 0.649 |
| Matchup | Home Win % | Away Win % | Confidence | Pitchers | Park | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL @ LAA | 21.0% | 79.0% | High | José Soriano vs Kyle Leahy | = | ↑ 6mph 79°F |
| DET @ CHC | 69.9% | 30.1% | High | Jameson Taillon vs Jack Flaherty | = | ↑ 14mph 86°F |
| ATH @ AZ | 69.2% | 30.8% | High | Mitch Bratt vs Jeffrey Springs | + | → 6mph 103°F |
| MIN @ CLE | 34.6% | 65.4% | High | Tanner Bibee vs Joe Ryan | = | ↓ 5mph 79°F |
| BAL @ BOS | 65.0% | 35.0% | High | Payton Tolle vs Shane Baz | = | → 12mph 82°F |
| CWS @ TEX | 63.6% | 36.4% | Medium | Jacob deGrom vs Erick Fedde | + | ↑ 10mph 100°F |
| PIT @ NYY | 63.5% | 36.5% | Medium | Ryan Weathers vs Braxton Ashcraft | + | ↑ 10mph 78°F |
| SD @ ATL | 63.4% | 36.6% | Medium | Bryce Elder vs JP Sears | = | ~ 4mph 80°F |
| NYM @ MIL | 61.1% | 38.9% | Medium | Jacob Misiorowski vs Freddy Peralta | = | → 16mph 86°F |
| TB @ TOR | 57.0% | 43.0% | Medium | Dylan Cease vs Nick Martinez | = | → 6mph 72°F |
| CIN @ SEA | 43.1% | 56.9% | Medium | George Kirby vs Andrew Abbott | = | ~ 4mph 81°F |
| SF @ KC | 46.2% | 53.8% | Toss-up | Michael Wacha vs Trevor McDonald | = | ~ 4mph 101°F |
| LAD @ PHI | 51.8% | 48.2% | Toss-up | Cristopher Sánchez vs Emmet Sheehan | = | ~ 5mph 84°F |
| WSH @ COL | 50.0% | 50.0% | Toss-up | Kyle Freeland vs Andrew Alvarez | + | → 8mph 98°F |