| Matchup | Predicted Winner | Win Probability | Home Pitcher | Away Pitcher | Park | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT @ DET | DET | 78.0% | River Ryan | Jared Jones | = | ↓ 6mph 69°F |
| CIN @ TOR | CIN | 75.3% | Max Scherzer | Brandon Williamson | = | → 5mph 68°F |
| COL @ CWS | CWS | 68.5% | Anthony Kay | Kyle Freeland | = | ↓ 6mph 59°F |
| Batter | vs Pitcher | Game | Impact Score | HR Prob | wOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | Elmer Rodríguez | BAL vs NYY | 1.283 | 23.8% | 0.770 |
| Luis García Jr. | Shane Baz | NYY vs BAL | 1.191 | 21.0% | 0.709 |
| Ben Rice | Shane Baz | NYY vs BAL | 1.095 | 19.8% | 0.661 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Elmer Rodríguez | BAL vs NYY | 1.035 | 17.9% | 0.624 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | Shane Baz | NYY vs BAL | 0.911 | 14.7% | 0.570 |
| Griffin Conine | JR Ritchie | MIA vs ATL | 0.907 | 15.7% | 0.562 |
| Yohandy Morales | Sean Manaea | WSH vs NYM | 0.892 | 14.8% | 0.545 |
| James Wood | Sean Manaea | WSH vs NYM | 0.887 | 14.1% | 0.563 |
| Héctor Rodríguez | Max Scherzer | CIN vs TOR | 0.880 | 14.0% | 0.545 |
| Dominic Canzone | Yusei Kikuchi | SEA vs LAA | 0.876 | 14.1% | 0.542 |
| Matchup | Home Win % | Away Win % | Confidence | Pitchers | Park | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT @ DET | 78.0% | 22.0% | High | River Ryan vs Jared Jones | = | ↓ 6mph 69°F |
| CIN @ TOR | 24.7% | 75.3% | High | Max Scherzer vs Brandon Williamson | = | → 5mph 68°F |
| COL @ CWS | 68.5% | 31.5% | High | Anthony Kay vs Kyle Freeland | = | ↓ 6mph 59°F |
| HOU @ ATH | 35.9% | 64.1% | Medium | Seth Johnson vs Peter Lambert | = | ↑ 8mph 70°F |
| TEX @ MIN | 64.0% | 36.0% | Medium | Dean Kremer vs MacKenzie Gore | = | ~ 3mph 66°F |
| STL @ MIL | 62.3% | 37.7% | Medium | Jacob Misiorowski vs Andre Pallante | = | ~ 3mph 58°F |
| LAA @ SEA | 61.8% | 38.2% | Medium | Logan Gilbert vs Yusei Kikuchi | = | ~ 4mph 53°F |
| NYM @ WSH | 58.7% | 41.3% | Medium | DJ Herz vs Sean Manaea | = | ↓ 10mph 62°F |
| AZ @ SD | 58.3% | 41.7% | Medium | Randy Vásquez vs Michael Soroka | - | ~ 5mph 75°F |
| BAL @ NYY | 57.4% | 42.6% | Medium | Elmer Rodríguez vs Shane Baz | + |
↓
10mph
62°F
☂ 51% |
| CLE @ KC | 44.1% | 55.9% | Medium | Daniel Lynch IV vs Parker Messick | = | → 6mph 69°F |
| TB @ PHI | 54.0% | 46.0% | Toss-up | Zack Wheeler vs Nick Martinez | = |
→
8mph
62°F
☂ 55% |
| ATL @ MIA | 49.4% | 50.6% | Toss-up | Janson Junk vs JR Ritchie | = | ~ 3mph 79°F |